A modified age-structured SIR model for COVID-19 type viruses
journal contribution
posted on 2022-04-13, 17:48authored byVishaal Ram, Laura P Schaposnik
AbstractWe present a modified age-structured SIR model based on known patterns of social contact and distancing measures within Washington, USA. We find that population age-distribution has a significant effect on disease spread and mortality rate, and contribute to the efficacy of age-specific contact and treatment measures. We consider the effect of relaxing restrictions across less vulnerable age-brackets, comparing results across selected groups of varying population parameters. Moreover, we analyze the mitigating effects of vaccinations and examine the effectiveness of age-targeted distributions. Lastly, we explore how our model can applied to other states to reflect social-distancing policy based on different parameters and metrics.
Funding
CAREER: Geometry and Physics of Higgs Bundles | Funder: National Science Foundation
CAREER: Branes in the Moduli Space of Higgs Bundles | Funder: National Science Foundation | Grant ID: DMS-1749013
History
Citation
Ram, V.Schaposnik, L. P. (2021). A modified age-structured SIR model for COVID-19 type viruses. Scientific Reports, 11(1), 15194-. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-94609-3