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Activity start time and duration: Incorporating regret theory into joint discrete-continuous models

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posted on 2018-09-11, 00:00 authored by Nima Golshani, Ramin Shabanpour, Joshua Auld, Abolfazl Mohammadian
Activity start time and duration decisions are two key elements of activity-travel behaviour. As an effort towards a more realistic representation of individuals’ decision behaviour, this paper presents a new copula-based joint model of activity start time and duration. We incorporate the regret theory into the joint modelling framework, which assumes that individuals tend to avoid the situation where non-chosen alternatives outperform the chosen one in one or more attributes. The proposed joint model comprises a hybrid utility-regret model as the discrete component to estimate activity start time and a hazard duration model as the continuous component to estimate activity duration. The comparative analysis of estimation results reveals that the proposed structure is statistically superior to the utility-based joint model and independent models. We also found that applying the regret-based decision rule for variables of travel time and travel time variability significantly improves the model.

Funding

This material is based upon work supported by Laboratory Directed Research and Development (LDRD) funding from Argonne National Laboratory, provided by the Director, Office of Science, of the U.S. Department of Energy under Contract No. DEAC02-06CH11357. The submitted manuscript has been created by UChicago Argonne, LLC, Operator of Argonne National Laboratory (“Argonne"). Argonne, a U.S. Department of Energy Office of Science laboratory, is operated under Contract No. DE- AC02-06CH11357.

History

Publisher Statement

Post print version of article may differ from published version. This is an electronic version of an article published in Golshani, N., Shabanpour, R., Auld, J., & Mohammadian, A. K. (2018). Activity start time and duration: incorporating regret theory into joint discrete–continuous models. Transportmetrica A: Transport Science, 14(9), 809-827. Transportmetrica A: Transport Science is available online at: http://www.informaworld.com/smpp/ DOI:10.1080/23249935.2018.1440261.

Citation

Golshani, N., Shabanpour, R., Auld, J., & Mohammadian, A. K. (2018). Activity start time and duration: incorporating regret theory into joint discrete–continuous models. Transportmetrica A: Transport Science, 14(9), 809-827. doi: 10.1080/23249935.2018.1440261.

Publisher

Taylor & Francis

Language

  • en_US

issn

2324-9935

Issue date

2018-02-09

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